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Electoral Calculus (The one that is always the most accurate)

NewsFix :: Politics :: Politics - U.K. and Irish Republic

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Electoral Calculus (The one that is always the most accurate) Empty Electoral Calculus (The one that is always the most accurate)

Post by Guest Fri Mar 27, 2015 3:14 pm

General Election Prediction
Live Prediction: Labour short 34 of majority
Party 2010 Votes 2010 Seats Pred Votes Pred Seats
CON 37.0% 307 34.0% 277
LAB 29.7% 258 33.5% 292
LIB 23.6% 57 7.7% 12
UKIP 3.2% 0 14.0% 1
Green 1.0% 1 5.2% 1
SNP 1.7% 6 3.7% 46
PlaidC 0.6% 3 0.6% 3
Minor 3.4% 0 1.3% 0
N.Ire 18 18

Prediction based on opinion polls from 08 Mar 2015 to 26 Mar 2015, sampling 10,948 people.
Probability of possible outcomes
Labour majority
29%
Conservative majority
17%
Lab/Nat coalition
14%
Nat choice of Con/Lab
13%
Con/Nat coalition
12%
Lab choice of Lib/Nat
8%
Con choice of Lib/Nat
5%
No overall control
1%

The future is never certain. But using our advanced modelling techniques, we can estimate the probability of the various possible outcomes at the next general election

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Electoral Calculus (The one that is always the most accurate) Empty Re: Electoral Calculus (The one that is always the most accurate)

Post by Guest Fri Mar 27, 2015 3:17 pm

My Mistake,

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