Key Poll shows Labour to win in 2015

Key Poll Shows Labour Win 2015 General Election

By Nick Assinder Political Editor
May 24, 2014 15:58 BST

Ed Miliband's prospects for the 2015 general election have been given a significant boost as a detailed poll of key marginal constituencies suggests he has a winning 10-point lead over the Tories while the Ukip bubble is likely to shrink if not quite burst.

The results from the survey, by Tory-supporting pollster Lord Ashcroft, put Labour on 40%, the Tories on 30%, Ukip third on 20% and the Liberal Democrats trailing in a poor fourth place on just 7%.

If the figures were replicated in a general election, Labour would gain 83 seats, enough to give the party a comfortable overall majority of around 70, way ahead of the local election polls, which only gave Miliband a 2-point advantage.

It also showed that only half of those now voting Ukip would do so in a general election, with 21% turning to the Tories, 11% Labour and 14% undecided. However, it did not suggest Ukip were on course to win any Westminster seats although it is in second place on 27% in Thanet South, a seat Nigel Farage may choose to stand in.

On the big election issues, 48% said it was the economy, 35% and 34% said immigration and health respectively and 31% said the cost of living, suggesting Ukip's big issues of migration and Europe will not play as strongly as in recent local and EU polls.

However, the survey also highlighted the "Miliband factor" that is troubling many in Labour, with only 29% favouring him as prime minister over David Cameron.

Nevertheless, the overall picture is a much-needed boost for Labour just as its post-local elections inquest saw Miliband continuing to face flak from figures on his own side who claim he was a drag on the party and had led a second-rate campaign.

It also served as a warning to David Cameron that the local election results and national polling figures which suggest he is narrowing the gap with Labour, or even breaking into a lead, may be painting a false picture.

The poll came just 24 hours before the results of the European parliament elections are expected to show another good performance for Ukip, with Farage predicting they will come first by share of the vote.

If the Ashcroft poll were echoed in a general election, Ukip would fall back from its current position but be strong enough in some areas to cause both the main parties serious trouble, with slightly more difficulty for the Tories.

http://www.ibtimes.co.uk/key-poll-shows-labour-could-win-general-election-1449909

Delusional demented deliriously stupid yes that's your average Labour voter. Sassy you personify the average Labour voter.

Milliband is doing a great job undermining Labour and his lack of credibility on the economy (he has been wrong at every turn) will be his and the parties undoing.

Sassy wrote:Key Poll Shows Labour Win 2015 General Election

   By Nick Assinder Political Editor
   May 24, 2014 15:58 BST

Ed Miliband's prospects for the 2015 general election have been given a significant boost as a detailed poll of key marginal constituencies suggests he has a winning 10-point lead over the Tories while the Ukip bubble is likely to shrink if not quite burst.

The results from the survey, by Tory-supporting pollster Lord Ashcroft, put Labour on 40%, the Tories on 30%, Ukip third on 20% and the Liberal Democrats trailing in a poor fourth place on just 7%.

If the figures were replicated in a general election, Labour would gain 83 seats, enough to give the party a comfortable overall majority of around 70, way ahead of the local election polls, which only gave Miliband a 2-point advantage.

It also showed that only half of those now voting Ukip would do so in a general election, with 21% turning to the Tories, 11% Labour and 14% undecided. However, it did not suggest Ukip were on course to win any Westminster seats although it is in second place on 27% in Thanet South, a seat Nigel Farage may choose to stand in.

On the big election issues, 48% said it was the economy, 35% and 34% said immigration and health respectively and 31% said the cost of living, suggesting Ukip's big issues of migration and Europe will not play as strongly as in recent local and EU polls.

However, the survey also highlighted the "Miliband factor" that is troubling many in Labour, with only 29% favouring him as prime minister over David Cameron.

Nevertheless, the overall picture is a much-needed boost for Labour just as its post-local elections inquest saw Miliband continuing to face flak from figures on his own side who claim he was a drag on the party and had led a second-rate campaign.

It also served as a warning to David Cameron that the local election results and national polling figures which suggest he is narrowing the gap with Labour, or even breaking into a lead, may be painting a false picture.

The poll came just 24 hours before the results of the European parliament elections are expected to show another good performance for Ukip, with Farage predicting they will come first by share of the vote.

If the Ashcroft poll were echoed in a general election, Ukip would fall back from its current position but be strong enough in some areas to cause both the main parties serious trouble, with slightly more difficulty for the Tories.

http://www.ibtimes.co.uk/key-poll-shows-labour-could-win-general-election-1449909

I was going to wish you a very happy Friday....................... Won't now !!!   

Alright said Fred wrote:Delusional demented deliriously stupid yes that's your average Labour voter. Sassy you personify the average Labour voter.

Milliband is doing a great job undermining Labour and his lack of credibility on the economy (he has been wrong at every turn) will be his and the parties undoing.

Ahhhh ! Drinky. You're missing Sass so much that you have to reply to a week old thread just to show her you're thinking of her, so sweet.      

Wait till Scotland vote to do independent! Labour? who are they?

 ://?roflmao?/: 

I really like Sassy and hope she is having a grand holiday.

On topic I think that Labour will win the next election but if they do so by pandering to the right then I may not agree with their policies.

Where is Sassy ?

gerber wrote:Where is Sassy ?

On her hol's  for a fortnight with her dad and family  I believe. Though I forget where to.  

Stephenmarra wrote:

gerber wrote:Where is Sassy ?

On her hol's  for a fortnight with her dad and family  I believe. Though I forget where to.  

Spain.  Ta muchly. Forgot

Tesstacious wrote:Wait till Scotland vote to do independent!  Labour?  who are they?

 ://?roflmao?/: 

I'll just move less that 15 miles to the other side of the border. Not a problem.  

Stephenmarra wrote:

Tesstacious wrote:Wait till Scotland vote to do independent!  Labour?  who are they?

 ://?roflmao?/: 

I'll just move less that 15 miles to the other side of the border. Not a problem.  

Just a hop, step and a jump for you Stephen.

  

Remember the Sun saying if Kinnock gets into power will the last one left turn the lights out?

If Milliband gets in there will be an exodus of talented people anyone with wealth companies and anyone else who is enterprising.

He is committed to the Labour policies of the sixties. Remember them 98% tax trade unions running the country, wholesale nationalisation and spend spend spend.

Pointless staying here to be ripped off to pay for the indolent.

Alright said Fred wrote:Remember the Sun saying if Kinnock gets into power will the last one left turn the lights out?

If Milliband gets in there will be an exodus of talented people anyone with wealth companies and anyone else who is enterprising.

He is committed to the Labour policies of the sixties. Remember them 98% tax trade unions running the country, wholesale nationalisation and spend spend spend.

Pointless staying here to be ripped off to pay for the indolent.

Good, fuck off with Smelly, if you're content with the crumbs thrown at you and do not wish to create a society fit for hero's, do one!

And take the Bwankers with you,,,,,,,,,none of the money is real!

Le parti travailliste britannique a besoin d'un grand leader comme François Hollande!


  

Le résultat viendra bientôt ¬

Helds vote de travail ferme à Newark   

scrat wrote:

Alright said Fred wrote:Remember the Sun saying if Kinnock gets into power will the last one left turn the lights out?

If Milliband gets in there will be an exodus of talented people anyone with wealth companies and anyone else who is enterprising.

He is committed to the Labour policies of the sixties. Remember them 98% tax trade unions running the country, wholesale nationalisation and spend spend spend.

Pointless staying here to be ripped off to pay for the indolent.

Good, fuck off with Smelly, if you're content with the crumbs thrown at you and do not wish to create a society fit for hero's, do one!

And take the Bwankers with you,,,,,,,,,none of the money is real!

And then who will pay for you sponging lefties Scrat. Remember your logic is to tax to death the enterprising until they fuck off; what a losing strategy that is.

Don't say it won't happen Hollande has found out it does and Labour in the sixties and seventies also learned that.

Pity you envious class warriors can learn sweet FA.

A country under the jackboot of Labour is fit for zeroes not heroes. Benefit dependency uncontrolled immigration to keep the stys full of Labour voters a cossted public sector leeching of the over taxed private sector. That's Labour solution.

Well said Fred. Saying that reminded me of that song "Right said fred"

Alright said Fred wrote:

scrat wrote:
Good, fuck off with Smelly, if you're content with the crumbs thrown at you and do not wish to create a society fit for hero's, do one!

And take the Bwankers with you,,,,,,,,,none of the money is real!

And then who will pay for you sponging lefties Scrat. Remember your logic is to tax to death the enterprising until they fuck off; what a losing strategy that is.

Don't say it won't happen Hollande has found out it does and Labour in the sixties and seventies also learned that.

Pity you envious class warriors can learn sweet FA.

A country under the jackboot of Labour is fit for zeroes not heroes. Benefit dependency uncontrolled immigration to keep the stys full of Labour voters a cossted public sector leeching of the over taxed private sector. That's Labour solution.

Drinky, you have been saying the same things as long as I can remember you posting. However, you used to say them with a bit of panache. Now, you are just a vile, bitter old man.