Bernie Sanders owns West Virginia
3 posters
Page 1 of 1
Bernie Sanders owns West Virginia
Bernie takes W. Virginia over Hillary.
http://fivethirtyeight.com/features/bernie-sanders-may-win-big-in-west-virginia/ wrote:Bernie Sanders May Win Big In West Virginia
Um...he did. But the delegate math is still stacked against him.
Hillary Clinton supporters repeatedly ask me why Bernie Sanders is still running for president. It’s true: The delegate math is squarely against him, and Clinton is almost certain to win the Democratic nomination by a fairly wide margin. But Sanders still has a lot of supporters, and he has a message that happens to be resonating. Case in point: West Virginia, which votes today and where Sanders is likely to win.
Just two West Virginia polls have been released in the last month, but both showed Sanders with a modest edge. The FiveThirtyEight polls-only model forecasts a 7-percentage-point Sanders win, while the polls-plus model gives him a 3-point edge.
West Virginia also looks like a strong state for Sanders demographically, with few nonwhite voters. A demographic model my colleague Nate Silver released in late April projected Sanders to carry the state by 15 percentage points. That would be his biggest win in a primary outside his home state of Vermont and its neighbor New Hampshire. (He’s had bigger wins in caucuses.)
Sanders’s West Virginia strength rests in large part on the state’s lack of racial diversity. It is 93 percent non-Hispanic white, the third-highest share of any state. The only other states where at least 90 percent of the population identifies as non-Hispanic white are Maine, New Hampshire and Vermont. Sanders won each of those by at least 20 percentage points. Meanwhile, Clinton’s strongest supporters have been black voters, and just 3 percent of West Virginia’s population is non-Hispanic black.
The other key pro-Sanders factor in West Virginia: It holds a semiclosed primary, meaning that unaffiliated voters can take part in either party’s primary. Sanders has done exceedingly well among voters who identify as independent,1 according to exit polls. Just last week in Indiana, for example, he lost among self-identified Democrats by 6 percentage points and won self-identified independents by 44 points.
Original Quill- Forum Detective ????♀️
- Posts : 37540
Join date : 2013-12-19
Age : 59
Location : Northern California
Re: Bernie Sanders owns West Virginia
Bernie has every right to use the platform he has to promote his message, which obviously does resonate with lots of people -- including me, even though I don't want him for president.
Still totally stumped as to why Clinton does so much better with minorities, though. Maybe it's because she's only from the second-most privileged class in the U.S. rather than the first
Still totally stumped as to why Clinton does so much better with minorities, though. Maybe it's because she's only from the second-most privileged class in the U.S. rather than the first
Re: Bernie Sanders owns West Virginia
Ben_Reilly wrote:Bernie has every right to use the platform he has to promote his message, which obviously does resonate with lots of people -- including me, even though I don't want him for president.
Still totally stumped as to why Clinton does so much better with minorities, though. Maybe it's because she's only from the second-most privileged class in the U.S. rather than the first
The Clintons formed a bond with the minority community back in 1992, and it's never changed.
Original Quill- Forum Detective ????♀️
- Posts : 37540
Join date : 2013-12-19
Age : 59
Location : Northern California
Re: Bernie Sanders owns West Virginia
Original Quill wrote:Ben_Reilly wrote:Bernie has every right to use the platform he has to promote his message, which obviously does resonate with lots of people -- including me, even though I don't want him for president.
Still totally stumped as to why Clinton does so much better with minorities, though. Maybe it's because she's only from the second-most privileged class in the U.S. rather than the first
The Clintons formed a bond with the minority community back in 1992, and it's never changed.
Agree with you both.
Cass- the Nerd Queen of Nerds, the Lover of Books who Cooks
- Posts : 6617
Join date : 2014-01-19
Age : 56
Similar topics
» Is Bernie Sanders Now The 2020 Frontrunner?
» Bernie Sanders' New Party Logo
» Bernie Sanders’ interns get PAID
» Bernie Sanders in McDowell County
» Bernie Sanders: Knave or Fool?
» Bernie Sanders' New Party Logo
» Bernie Sanders’ interns get PAID
» Bernie Sanders in McDowell County
» Bernie Sanders: Knave or Fool?
Page 1 of 1
Permissions in this forum:
You cannot reply to topics in this forum
Sat Mar 18, 2023 12:28 pm by Ben Reilly
» TOTAL MADNESS Great British Railway Journeys among shows flagged by counter terror scheme ‘for encouraging far-right sympathies
Wed Feb 22, 2023 5:14 pm by Tommy Monk
» Interesting COVID figures
Tue Feb 21, 2023 5:00 am by Tommy Monk
» HAPPY CHRISTMAS.
Sun Jan 01, 2023 7:33 pm by Tommy Monk
» The Fight Over Climate Change is Over (The Greenies Won!)
Thu Dec 15, 2022 3:59 pm by Tommy Monk
» Trump supporter murders wife, kills family dog, shoots daughter
Mon Dec 12, 2022 1:21 am by 'Wolfie
» Quill
Thu Oct 20, 2022 10:28 pm by Tommy Monk
» Algerian Woman under investigation for torture and murder of French girl, 12, whose body was found in plastic case in Paris
Thu Oct 20, 2022 10:04 pm by Tommy Monk
» Wind turbines cool down the Earth (edited with better video link)
Sun Oct 16, 2022 9:19 am by Ben Reilly
» Saying goodbye to our Queen.
Sun Sep 25, 2022 9:02 pm by Maddog
» PHEW.
Sat Sep 17, 2022 6:33 pm by Syl
» And here's some more enrichment...
Thu Sep 15, 2022 3:46 pm by Ben Reilly
» John F Kennedy Assassination
Thu Sep 15, 2022 3:40 pm by Ben Reilly
» Where is everyone lately...?
Thu Sep 15, 2022 3:33 pm by Ben Reilly
» London violence over the weekend...
Mon Sep 05, 2022 2:19 pm by Tommy Monk
» Why should anyone believe anything that Mo Farah says...!?
Wed Jul 13, 2022 1:44 am by Tommy Monk
» Liverpool Labour defends mayor role poll after turnout was only 3% and they say they will push ahead with the option that was least preferred!!!
Mon Jul 11, 2022 1:11 pm by Tommy Monk
» Labour leader Keir Stammer can't answer the simple question of whether a woman has a penis or not...
Mon Jul 11, 2022 3:58 am by Tommy Monk
» More evidence of remoaners still trying to overturn Brexit... and this is a conservative MP who should be drummed out of the party and out of parliament!
Sun Jul 10, 2022 10:50 pm by Tommy Monk
» R Kelly 30 years, Ghislaine Maxwell 20 years... but here in UK...
Fri Jul 08, 2022 5:31 pm by Original Quill