Roubini: Capitalism must adjust before it self-destructs
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Roubini: Capitalism must adjust before it self-destructs
There is a risk that if people are unemployed long enough they atrophy, they lose skills, so I think we have not done enough on boosting aggregate demand by using appropriate monetary and fiscal policies or even credit easing.
I think the long-term issues that the tech gurus here all excited about — innovation from IT to energy technology to biotech to new manufacturing technology like robots automation, and so on — the problem with all these great innovations is that they tend to be capital intensive, skill biased, and result in labor savings. We have a structural problem with job creation, so I would think about changing the taxation of labor versus capital, how we invest in better educational systems, vocational schools, and reducing payroll taxes as a way to increase demand for labor. Otherwise you have vicious cycle of little job creation, a rise in the share of profits and GDP, redistributing form those spending to those saving, that further reduces aggregate demand.
So inequality was also a theme. You have here not just the top 1% but the top 0.01%, So between technology, globalization, trade, the winner-take-all superstar effect, inequality is rising. This is not just a "moral" issue but also an issue of too little consumption too little savings that is bad for global growth.
So it becomes vicious cycle. It's a bit like the old Marxist idea that if profits grow too much compared to wages, there's not going to be enough consumption, and capitalism is going to self destruct. So I think that insight of Karl Marx is as useful today as it was 100 years ago.
http://www.businessinsider.com/nouriel-roubini-mini-perfect-storm-2014-1
Footnote: "In September 2006, (Roubini) warned a skeptical IMF that "the United States was likely to face a once-in-a-lifetime housing bust, an oil shock, sharply declining consumer confidence, and, ultimately, a deep recession"." http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Nouriel_Roubini
Re: Roubini: Capitalism must adjust before it self-destructs
The unemployed in the UK is a labour tactic to fill the voting booths.
That and putting 7 million workers on the govt payroll. Thats a quarter Ben.
Are they concerned aboutbthe welfare of the unemployed you bet they are not.
That and putting 7 million workers on the govt payroll. Thats a quarter Ben.
Are they concerned aboutbthe welfare of the unemployed you bet they are not.
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Re: Roubini: Capitalism must adjust before it self-destructs
It's too late for capitalism to adjust. The brown stuff's going to hit the fan pretty soon. Why do you think four top bankers have committed suicide in the past few days alone?
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